Analytical review · Quarter ended August 1, 2026 (Q3 of fiscal year 2026)
Bakshi Finance — Family Office | Research Depth: Comprehensive
What this review is based on. The company's Form 10-Q for the quarter ended August 1, 2026, filed August 19, 2026; the 10-Qs for Q1 and Q2; the Form 10-K for fiscal 2025; the quarterly earnings releases from November 2025 to August 2026; and Form 8-K filings on acquisitions, credit facilities, a cybersecurity incident and a bond issue. The company's fiscal year ends in late October or early November. Market data: closing price on October 6, 2026, and the Bank of Israel representative dollar rate for that day.
Analog Devices designs and makes chips that translate physical signals — temperature, pressure, sound, motion, radio waves and electrical current — into digital information, as well as power-management chips. Its customers make industrial equipment, vehicles, communications and data-center systems, and consumer products. The company is headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts, and employs about 24,500 people, roughly 13,000 of them in engineering roles.
Manufacturing is hybrid. The company runs wafer fabs in the United States and Ireland, and more than half of its wafers are made by outside foundries, including TSMC. In 2021 it acquired Maxim Integrated; that deal accounts for most of the goodwill and intangible assets on the balance sheet. Revenue for the 12 months ended August 2026 totaled $13.88 billion.
About 58% of the quarter's revenue came through distributors. One distributor accounted for 24% of fiscal 2025 revenue. There is no controlling shareholder. Vincent Roche is CEO and Chair.
In the May–July 2026 quarter, revenue rose 40% to $4.02 billion. It was the third quarter in a row above the midpoint of management's outlook, and in two of them revenue also exceeded the top of the range. Gross margin was 67.3%. According to the filing, the improvement came mainly from higher utilization of fixed manufacturing costs, driven by demand, and from product mix.
Three layers of earnings per share. Reported EPS rose from $1.04 to $2.74 (+163%). The prior-year quarter, however, included a one-time tax charge of $153.8 million tied to the U.S. tax law enacted in July 2025. Without it, prior-year EPS was about $1.35, and the increase about 102%. The company's adjusted EPS rose from $2.05 to $3.45 (+68%). The main adjustment is amortization of acquired intangibles, about $398 million in the quarter, which is not a cash expense. The company does not exclude stock-based compensation from adjusted earnings.
| $ millions | Q3 FY25 | Q4 FY25 | Q1 FY26 | Q2 FY26 | Q3 FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2,880 | 3,076 | 3,160 | 3,623 | 4,022 |
| Gross margin | 62.1% | 63.1% | 64.7% | 67.3% | 67.3% |
| Reported operating margin | 28.4% | 30.7% | 31.5% | 38.1% | 40.1% |
| Adjusted operating margin | 42.2% | 43.5% | 45.5% | 49.0% | 50.0% |
| Net income | 519 | 788 | 831 | 1,176 | 1,340 |
| Diluted EPS ($) | 1.04 | 1.60 | 1.69 | 2.40 | 2.74 |
| Adjusted EPS ($) | 2.05 | 2.26 | 2.46 | 3.09 | 3.45 |
The company's revenue moves in cycles. In fiscal 2023 it reached $12.31 billion; in 2024 it fell 23% to $9.43 billion, and gross margin dropped 6.9 points that year. Revenue over the last 12 months is already 12.8% above the 2023 peak. Based on management's fourth-quarter outlook ($4.3 billion, plus or minus $100 million), fiscal 2026 revenue would total about $15.1 billion. The jump in 2022 reflects mainly the full consolidation of Maxim, not organic growth.
| Fiscal year, $ millions | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 12 months to 8.2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 7,318 | 12,014 | 12,306 | 9,427 | 11,020 | 13,882 |
| Gross margin | 61.8% | 62.7% | 64.0% | 57.1% | 61.5% | — |
| Net income | 1,390 | 2,749 | 3,315 | 1,635 | 2,267 | 4,135 |
| Free cash flow | 2,391 | 3,776 | 3,556 | 3,122 | 4,279 | 4,937 |
| Buybacks and dividends | 3,714 | 4,122 | 4,643 | 2,411 | 4,089 | 5,170 |
Company-adjusted operating margin: 40.9% in fiscal 2024 and 41.9% in fiscal 2025 (Q4 fiscal 2025 earnings release).
On August 1, 2026, financial debt stood at $9.22 billion: bonds in 13 series and $1.0 billion of commercial paper. Cash and short-term investments totaled $2.33 billion, and net debt $6.9 billion — about one year of adjusted operating income. Current debt includes a $900 million series at 3.5% maturing in December 2026 and a $440 million series maturing in June 2027.
After the balance-sheet date:
Goodwill and intangible assets total $35.5 billion, more than total shareholders' equity ($33.6 billion). Tangible equity is therefore negative, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27 gives only a partial picture. The company has $6.0 billion of undrawn credit facilities; half of that is a 364-day facility signed in July 2026.
Capital return: over the last 12 months the company paid $2.04 billion in dividends and bought back $3.13 billion of stock: together 105% of free cash flow. In February 2026 the quarterly dividend was raised 11% to $1.10, the 22nd consecutive year of increases. The diluted share count fell 1.6% over the past year.
Working capital: since the start of the fiscal year, accounts receivable rose 66%, from $1.44 billion to $2.39 billion. Over the same period quarterly revenue rose 31%. Days sales outstanding increased from 44 to 50, and working-capital changes consumed $941 million in nine months. Management attributes this to higher sales and the timing of collections and billings. Inventory rose 17%, while inventory days fell from 140 in Q1 to 131.
The company reports a single operating segment and discloses revenue by four end markets. Profitability by market is not disclosed.
| Q3, $ millions | FY25 | FY26 | Change | Share of revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industrial | 1,293 | 1,972 | +53% | 49% |
| Automotive | 857 | 998 | +16% | 25% |
| Communications | 355 | 655 | +84% | 16% |
| Consumer | 375 | 397 | +6% | 10% |
Industrial: according to the filing, all sub-markets grew, with test equipment and aerospace and defense growing fastest. Communications: according to the filing, the strongest growth came from data centers, driven by AI infrastructure investment. Data-center revenue is not disclosed as a dollar figure. Automotive: growth of 2% in Q2 and 16% in Q3. Consumer: about $397 million in each of the last three quarters.
Geography (fiscal 2025, by buyer location): United States 29%, China 26% (up 34%), Europe 21%, rest of Asia 13%, Japan 9%. The quarterly reports do not include a geographic breakdown.
The company operates in analog and mixed-signal chips: components that sit at the point of contact between the physical world and the digital system. In this market, a part chosen into a customer's design tends to stay in production for years, particularly in industrial, automotive and defense. Customers are dispersed: no end customer reaches 10% of revenue. The concentration is in the distribution channel, not among end customers.
The strategic direction the company presents: more content per system, from sensor to power management. In July 2026 the company completed the acquisition of Empower Semiconductor for $1.5 billion. Empower develops integrated voltage regulators and silicon capacitors that deliver power close to the processor in AI servers. About $1.0 billion of the price was recorded as goodwill, and according to the filing its revenue since the acquisition is immaterial. The Alif acquisition adds microcontrollers with on-device AI processing. Alif's revenue has not been disclosed.
In its filings the company cites increasing competition, including from companies outside the United States, and variables such as tariffs, export classifications and distributor performance. This review does not include competitor data from primary sources.
At Analog Devices, the central question is how much of this quarter is cycle and how much is structure. Revenue over the last 12 months is already above the 2023 peak, and gross margin is higher than in any of the past five years. Management itself explains the margins by utilization of fixed costs. That kind of leverage also works in reverse: in fiscal 2024 revenue fell 23% and gross margin fell 6.9 points.
Growth is uneven, and that matters. Communications grew 84% and industrial 53%, led by test equipment and defense. Automotive grew 16% and consumer 6%. A gap like this across markets fits focused demand rather than a purely general recovery. On the other hand, data centers, test equipment, Empower and Alif are all tied to AI infrastructure investment, so a single driver sits behind a meaningful part of the growth.
The channel is a blind spot. 58% of revenue passes through distributors, and one distributor accounts for nearly a quarter of it. The company does not disclose how much inventory distributors hold. Over nine months receivables grew faster than revenue, and days sales outstanding rose from 44 to 50. Management attributes this to collection timing. The next report will show whether the trend continues.
Three layers of earnings. Reported earnings include amortization of intangible assets from the Maxim acquisition, about $1.6 billion a year, which is not a cash outflow. As a result the company's reported P/E is persistently high. Adjusted earnings exclude the amortization but not stock-based compensation. Free cash flow — $4.94 billion over the last 12 months — is the anchor least dependent on definitions.
Capital allocation has shifted. In recent years the company returned most of its free cash flow to shareholders. Over the last 12 months it returned 105% of it, while also acquiring Empower, agreeing to acquire Alif, and issuing $3.0 billion of bonds at rates above its existing debt. Leverage is still low relative to earnings, but the direction has changed.
What management says. According to the CFO, demand "continued to strengthen" across the portfolio and regions, and the fourth-quarter outlook is a record. In Q1 and Q2 management described record bookings, including in data centers. The company does not disclose a book-to-bill ratio in writing.
Historical multiple vs. today's. The reported P/E at the end of fiscal years 2021–2025 ranged from 24 to 68, mostly because of the cycle and amortization. On adjusted earnings, the multiple was about 30 at the end of fiscal 2025 and about 37 on October 6, 2026. Since the end of fiscal 2025 the share price has risen about 79%, and trailing 12-month adjusted EPS about 45%. Free cash flow yield on market cap is 2.4%. These figures describe the starting point; they do not determine direction.
Open matters. The U.S. Internal Revenue Service issued an assessment of about $267 million for fiscal 2018–2019 over transfer pricing. The company disputes it and has recorded no provision, but according to the filing, a ruling in the IRS's favor, together with its effect on later years, could materially affect earnings. In June 2026 unauthorized access to company systems was detected and files were exfiltrated. According to the company, operations were not interrupted, and the investigation is ongoing.
This framework is intended to structure analysis, not to produce an investment conclusion. It does not take part in the decision — the decision is the reader's.
| # | Item | Latest reading |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Q4 revenue vs. management's outlook | Outlook $4.3B, plus or minus $0.1B |
| 2 | Gross margin | 67.3% |
| 3 | Days sales outstanding and inventory days | 50 and 131 |
| 4 | Distributor share of revenue | 58% |
| 5 | Communications and data centers | $655M, +84% |
| 6 | Automotive | $998M, +16% |
| 7 | Net debt after Alif and the bond issue | $6.9B on August 1, 2026 |
| 8 | Free cash flow as a share of revenue | 36% over 12 months |
| 9 | Tax assessment and cybersecurity incident | Open |
| 10 | China's share in the annual report | 26% in fiscal 2025 |
The scenarios below are descriptive, not predictive. They include no prices, no probabilities, and no ranking of outcomes. Their only purpose is to organize the conditions that would have to hold for each state to materialize, so they can be checked against future filings.
Scenarios are descriptive, not predictive.
The six questions below are identical in every company review we publish. They are deliberately open and do not lead to a single conclusion. Their role is to let the reader examine the company along the same six dimensions as every other company.
1. In the May–July 2026 quarter the company reported revenue of $4.02 billion (+40%) and EPS of $2.74 (+163%). Excluding the one-time tax charge in the prior-year quarter, EPS rose about 102%. Company-adjusted EPS rose 68% to $3.45.
2. Revenue over the last 12 months, $13.88 billion, is 12.8% above the fiscal 2023 peak. Gross margin, 67.3%, is higher than in any of the past five years. Management attributes the improvement to utilization of fixed costs and mix.
3. Communications grew 84% and industrial 53%, while automotive and consumer grew 16% and 6%. 58% of revenue passed through distributors, and accounts receivable rose 66% in nine months.
4. Free cash flow over the last 12 months totaled $4.94 billion, and capital returned $5.17 billion. After the balance-sheet date the company agreed to acquire Alif for $1.35 billion and issued $3.0 billion of bonds.
Bakshi Finance operates as a Family Office for qualified clients only. Mr. Yaron Bakshi held an investment advisory license from 2008 to 2023. As of the publication date of this document, the company does not hold an investment advisory, investment marketing, or portfolio management license.
This document is intended for research and professional education purposes only. Nothing herein constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, hold, or take any action in securities. It is not a substitute for advice that takes into account each person's individual data and needs. Any decision is the sole responsibility of the investor.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Data was drawn from official sources: the Form 10-Q for the quarter ended August 1, 2026 (filed August 19, 2026), the Form 10-Qs for Q1 and Q2 of fiscal 2026, the Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 (November 1, 2025), the quarterly earnings releases, and the company's Form 8-K filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Historical multiples: stockanalysis.com. Filing updates published after this date are not included.
The full analytical review of Analog Devices (ADI) for the quarter ended August 2026 is available to Bakshi Finance premium clients.
The review includes a 10-section analysis, "How to Think About This Company", a structured scenario framework, and a 6-dimension Analytical Lens.